The same old news seems to hang over the markets like a low level cow emission of uncertainty. Brexit – will it be hard or soft? China – will there be a trade deal or not? North Korea – nukes or no nukes? The Fed – quantitative tightening or not? Politics – not going there. The new news was the Green New Deal, spearheaded by the freshman representative from New York. This supposed economic stimulus and equality plan was widely criticized for its disruptive goals and impossibly fast timeline. We’ll leave the debating to the debaters and concentrate on what that means for us and our investing clients. Basically, it means some industries will get a boost and others will get a drag, if not elimination. Do we, or should we, really care about legislation that probably will not become law? The answer is yes, but for a reason any technical analyst should appreciate. There is already a trend in place towards a greener economy. Fully powered by the free market, we already see electric vehicles, high efficiency heating and cooling in
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What's Inside...
Letter from the CEO
by Alvin KresslerI want to take a few minutes to highlight some of the changes to the TAN Program and our online presence, including changes to our website, that are ongoing. The first change, which we recently...
President's Letter Redux
by Scott G. Richter, CMT, CFA, CHPThis letter was originally published last month and re-ran in light of the upcoming Symposium. Symposium Time: Learn – Connect – Grow The 2019 TAN Association Annual Symposium will take place...
What Makes You a Good Interviewee?
by Michael Kahn, CMTAnyone who manages money or sells research benefits from exposure in the media. Sure, we can get clients by taking out ads, but they are expensive and really do not work well. Or, we can cultivate a...
Member Interview – Mark Arbeter, CMT
by Mark Arbeter, CMTWhat do you do professionally? I am President of Arbeter Investments LLC, which I started in late 2014. I write a weekly, technically-based newsletter covering the major indices, sectors, treasuries,...
Brandishing the “CMT” Designation
by Stanley Dash, CMTEvery CMT charterholder has worked hard to earn and maintain their charter. What’s more, every charterholder has a vested interest in the TAN Association’s goal of “advancing the...
Chart Summit 2019 - Review
by Tyler Wood & Tom Bruni, CMTChart Summit 2019 took place February 22-23 in Breckenridge, Colorado, hosted by JC Parets of Allstarcharts and Brian Shannon of AlphaTrends. Thank you sponsors Stocktwits, Optuma, Speedtrader,...
How to Write for the Media
by Michael Kahn, CMTThis month, we have part 1 of an informal block of “wisdom” on dealing with the media with more coming next month. Here is the intro to a PowerPoint presentation I did for the TAN Association in...
Minnesota Chapter Meeting - Notes & Review
by Kyle Lottman, CFAThe Minnesota Chapter met February 19 at Piper Jaffray Headquarters with featured speaker Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA, Senior Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com. Here were his favorite trade...
Chicago Chapter Meeting - Notes & Review
by Jim Erdmier, CMTThe Chicago CMTA Chapter kicked off its first meeting of 2019 with one of its favorite guest speakers, Katie Stockton. Katie is a CMT and is the founder and managing partner at Fairlead Strategies....
TAN Association Mourns the Loss of David Fuller, Annual Award Winner
by Eoin TreacyIt is with the deepest regret I inform you David passed away on the 15th of January at his home in Devon surrounded by family, which is where he wanted to be. He is survived by his wife Graham, and...
2019 Annual Symposium Speaker Previews: Clare Flynn Levy & Emanuel Derman
Leading up to the 2019 Annual Symposium next month, we’re previewing two highly-anticipated presentations as well as the speakers’ professional backgrounds. Emanuel Derman is a professor...
Membership News
by Marie PenzaMembers on the Move The TAN Association would like to congratulate the following members on their new positions: Cesar Diaz-Loyo, Trade Finance Specialist at Cominvestment AG Muhammad Hafiz,...
I want to take a few minutes to highlight some of the changes to the TAN Program and our online presence, including changes to our website, that are ongoing.
The first change, which we recently highlighted in an email and which many of you have already noticed, is the gating we’ve introduced on the website. This gating is a form of member-restricted access, moving more of the Association’s content and programming behind a paywall. That means you must be logged into the website as a member in order to access this material. Some material will continue to be open to anyone, but most of the content will now be accessible only to members, who support the creation, delivery and storage of that material through their membership dues.
To that end, beyond the website, guests and non-members will now need to pay a fee to attend certain events (including chapter meetings and webcasts).
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Alvin Kressler
Alvin Kressler is Executive Director & CEO of the TAN Association. Alvin was previously Director of Research and Corporate Access at Bloomberg Tradebook. Before joining Bloomberg, he was the Executive Director of The New York Society of Security Analysts (NYSSA). At over...
President's Letter Redux
This letter was originally published last month and re-ran in light of the upcoming Symposium.
Symposium Time: Learn – Connect – Grow
The 2019 TAN Association Annual Symposium will take place April 4-5 in New York City. We will gather with 250 or so peers and thought leaders from around the world and discuss markets, share ideas about all things technical, and size up the industry.
Bill Kelleher, Tyler Wood, Alvin Kressler and the staff at the TAN Association have a fantastic program lined up with prominent practitioners from around the globe. This year’s event theme is Behavioral Finance. It’s a timely and important subject to understand. In fact, Richard Thayer received the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences in 2017 for his work on Behavioral Finance; even academia recognizes the importance of this topic.
I’ve made my plans to attend and I’m excited about our premier event of the year! Please consider joining us
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Scott G. Richter, CMT, CFA, CHP
Scott Richter, CMT, CFA, CHP is a senior portfolio manager for Westfield, which manages over $4B in AUM. He is the lead portfolio manager for alternative assets and is also responsible for investments in the energy and utility sectors. He was formerly the co-manager...
Anyone who manages money or sells research benefits from exposure in the media. Sure, we can get clients by taking out ads, but they are expensive and really do not work well. Or, we can cultivate a client base that loves us so much they tell all their friends, who tell their friends. That takes years to develop.
The most efficient way is for the media to advertise our services for us in a “soft sell” approach. In other words, have reporters and bloggers quote us in their work for our expert opinion. It can be where we think stocks are heading. Or it can be how to invest every time a politician opens his or her mouth. Or even how to run a small business.
It does not matter. With 24/7/365 media – TV, radio, blogs, podcasts, books, YouTube – there is a huge, and I mean huge, need for content.
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Michael Kahn, CMT
Michael Kahn, who holds a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, is a seasoned financial services strategist, analyst, columnist, educator and speaker. Michael has been working with charts and technical analysis since 1986. He is the author of three books on...
What do you do professionally?
I am President of Arbeter Investments LLC, which I started in late 2014. I write a weekly, technically-based newsletter covering the major indices, sectors, treasuries, the metals, and crude oil. In addition, I write a weekly market letter for Argus Research. I also trade my own account.
How did you get there?
I got interested in the stock market as a teen in the late 70s. My doctor’s husband was a broker in Doylestown, Pa. He gave me some annual reports, the S&P stock guide, and the Trendline chart book. Honestly, the only thing, even way back then, that made sense to me was the chart book.
In 1977, after graduating high school, I started at Penn State Ogontz in their engineering program, which I chose because they made good money. I quit after a week. Eventually, I got a job at Penn Engineering & Manufacturing (PEM) in Danboro,
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Mark Arbeter, CMT
Mark Arbeter, CMT, is currently the President of Arbeter Investments LLC and runs a newsletter entitled "On The Mark" focusing on technical analysis of the U.S. markets. Mark recently ended a 26-year career with Standard & Poor’s Equity Research as their Chief Technical...
Every CMT charterholder has worked hard to earn and maintain their charter. What’s more, every charterholder has a vested interest in the TAN Association’s goal of “advancing the discipline of technical analysis,” as it has for nearly 50 years.
All of us further this mission in the work we do each day. This includes pioneering new areas of research, interpreting market action in the interest of clients, and communicating responsibly about technical analysis’ strengths and limitations.
Another aspect of furthering the mission and promoting the responsible application of technical methods should be using our hard-earned “CMT” designation in all appropriate circumstances. At the least, this credential should be part of our employment record. And from business cards to promotional materials, on websites and research reports and at speaking engagements, it is important for us to make clear our commitment to this discipline, to its proper application, and to the Code of Ethics
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Stanley Dash, CMT
Stanley Dash is the TAN Program Director at the TAN Association, a global credentialing body. In this role, Mr. Dash works with subject matter experts, candidates, and the Association's members to maintain and improve the curriculum, the test experience, and the value of the...
Chart Summit 2019 took place February 22-23 in Breckenridge, Colorado, hosted by JC Parets of Allstarcharts and Brian Shannon of AlphaTrends. Thank you sponsors Stocktwits, Optuma, Speedtrader, TradeIdeas, TAN Association, TrendSpider, TradingAnalysis.com, Investor’s Business Daily, and Investopedia.
Day One
Day one started off with a “Technical Analysis in Social Media” panel with host Sean McLaughlin, Howard Lindzon, Brian Shannon, Ian McMillan and Brian Lichtor.
The biggest takeaway from that presentation was how social media has the ability to accelerate the learning curve of financial markets and investing by providing access to information and mentors. The ability to identify and collaborate with a community of people who have similar interests is something that was much more difficult just a decade or two ago. As with anything there are bad actors out there, but if you put in the work to figure out who you are following and why, you end up with a curated
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Tyler Wood
Tyler Wood is the Managing Director of Global Business Development at the TAN Association. In collaboration with TAN Association members and charterholders, Tyler has presented the tools of technical analysis around the world to investment firms, regulators, exchanges, and...

Tom Bruni, CMT
Bio coming
This month, we have part 1 of an informal block of “wisdom” on dealing with the media with more coming next month. Here is the intro to a PowerPoint presentation I did for the TAN Association in 2018 followed by a link to the slides for that talk.
Let me let you in on a little secret. The last time I checked, which was a few years ago, one of the more popular media outlets for technical analysis was paying the equivalent of $6/inch of copy. Compare that to 25 – 50 cents per word or more that most magazines pay.
Why? Because the typical article submitted needs a lot of work in editing. They expect to spend quite a lot of time rephrasing, rewriting and reorganizing every article and usually they are right.
And that does not even address the content itself, which may not clear or even coherent.
Technical analysts are notoriously
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Michael Kahn, CMT
Michael Kahn, who holds a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, is a seasoned financial services strategist, analyst, columnist, educator and speaker. Michael has been working with charts and technical analysis since 1986. He is the author of three books on...
The Minnesota Chapter met February 19 at Piper Jaffray Headquarters with featured speaker Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA, Senior Technical Analyst at StockCharts.com.
Here were his favorite trade ideas:
Japan – Watching another month or so to see if PPO (Percent price oscillator) breaks down. A break down in the JPY could take the markets lower. Noted a breakout in gold but the yen had not followed causing some concern.
Germany – Likes using Germany as EUR thermometer. The Euro itself looks like it is going to break lower, sitting at a two-year low and RSI is close to 30 for the past year. There is weakness outside the U.S. but not necessarily in the US. However, weakness overseas could eventually bring U.S. markets lower. Expects resolution sometime around 2Q
USD – Expects the dollar to go higher and likes using Pring’s special K indicator in his analysis. Would view a drop in the dollar
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Kyle Lottman, CFA
Kyle Lottman, who holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation is a Financial Advisor at Focus Financial Network. Prior to joining Focus Financial Network in 2019, he worked as an analyst in fixed income and equity markets for close to a decade. Kyle earned his...
The Chicago CMTA Chapter kicked off its first meeting of 2019 with one of its favorite guest speakers, Katie Stockton. Katie is a CMT and is the founder and managing partner at Fairlead Strategies. As usual, the guests convened at The Chicago Board of Trade, despite the winter weather that plagues the city this time of year. We had a decent turnout considering the conditions: nearly 30 brave souls trekked their way through the tundra to see Katie.
She went over some of the tactics used at Fairlead. In their “Toolbox,” you will find some classic technical analysis indicators such as MACD, stochastics, and moving averages. However, they also employ some methods that are less common, such as the Cloud Model, also known as Ichimoku. Katie noted that the Cloud Model isn’t as popular in the U.S. as it is in Europe or Japan, where it is used as extensively as
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Jim Erdmier, CMT
Jim Erdmier, who holds a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation, has been trading privately and institutionally for 10 years in equities, FX, and futures. He is pursuing a degree in Finance and Computer Science at DePaul University. Jim is Co-Chair of the Chicago Chapter...
It is with the deepest regret I inform you David passed away on the 15th of January at his home in Devon surrounded by family, which is where he wanted to be. He is survived by his wife Graham, and his two daughters, Grayson and Laurel.
He had been battling a heart condition for the last several years. Unfortunately, the muscle was too weak to operate on, so he had been balancing medications in an effort to keep swelling under control and succumbed on the night of Tuesday the 15th.
The family, old friends and I are very eager to organize a memorial service which we envisage will take place in conjunction with the dates of one of our London venues for The Chart Seminar. 2019 will be the 50th anniversary of The Chart Seminar and I think it would be fitting to time the memorial to occur around that time, since
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Eoin Treacy
Eoin Treacy is a technical analyst at Fuller Treacy Money, as well as a writer, strategist, commentator and lecturer. He joined David Fuller at Fuller Money Global Strategy Service in 2003, and engaged in a management buyout of the company with David to form Fuller Treacy...
Leading up to the 2019 Annual Symposium next month, we’re previewing two highly-anticipated presentations as well as the speakers’ professional backgrounds.
Emanuel Derman is a professor at Columbia University, where he directs the university’s program in financial engineering. At the 2019 Annual Symposium, he will present a historical perspective on the applications of quantitative finance and the evolution of the discipline during the last century. Clare Flynn Levy is the Founder and CEO of Essentia Analytics, a behavioral data analytics service that helps professional investors make measurably better investment decisions. At the Symposium, Clare will be presenting on Behavioral Feedback and Control.
The evolution of a quantitative approach to finance has proceeded through many small but significant steps and occasional large epiphanies. Derman’s talk will outline how, over the past 70 years, financial models have quantified the notion of derivatives, diffusion, risk, volatility, the riskless rate, diversification, hedging, replication, and the principle
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Members on the Move
The TAN Association would like to congratulate the following members on their new positions:
- Cesar Diaz-Loyo, Trade Finance Specialist at Cominvestment AG
- Muhammad Hafiz, Deputy Director of Trading & Research at SIM Investment & Networking Club
- Matthew Caire, CFA, CFP, CMT, Senior Vice President at Houston Trust Company
- Vikas Bagdi, Technical Analyst at CapitalVia Global Research Limited – Investment Advisor
- Panos, Director of HACSA Academic Programmes at Hellenic Association of Certified Analysts
CMT News
If you find that you are unable to schedule your exam at Prometric because the site is not available, please email Marie at marie@cmtassociation.org for assistance. Due to Ramadan, certain test centers in Asia and the Middle East will offer extended dates outside the June 2019 test window in order to accommodate all candidates.
Don’t forget to register for the June 2019 test administration; standard registration ends on April 1, 2019!
The TAN Association would like to congratulate the following members
To view this content you must be an active member of the TAN Association.
Not a member? Join the TAN Association and unlock access to hundreds of hours of written and video technical analysis content, including the Journal of Technical Analysis and the Video Archives. Learn more about Membership here.
Contributor(s)

Marie Penza
Marie Penza serves as the Director of Member Services for the CMT
New Educational Content This Month
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August 26, 2020
The CMT Experience
Presenter(s): Tyler Wood, Dave Lundgren, CMT, CFA
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August 26, 2020
Reading the Current Market in Light of History’s Lessons
Presenter(s): Ryan Detrick, CMT
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August 12, 2020
How to Spot Major Trend Reversals with Elliott Waves and Socionomics: Examples from Asia’s Ongoing Secular Bull Market
Presenter(s): Mark Galasiewski