(If the 1st five days are net up, the year will be up. If down, no prediction, a coin-toss)

This is hands-down THE best of the January Indicators. This year for only the second time in six years, the first five trading days of January were up (1.8%); therefore we have a buy signal for the year as a whole. We record a buy signal only when the first five days are up. There are no sell signals because when the first five days are down, the record amounts to a coin-toss. The same applies to the month of January as a whole (i.e. do not use the down months), but the record is not as great as for the first five; further, waiting until Feb 1 to buy can amount to missing as much as 15% of a year’s move. The extraordinary statistics of this indicator are found below. We

This article was originally published at Systemic Relative Strength, the official blog of Dorsey Wright Money Management on January 6, 2010. It is reprinted here with permission. Additional articles can be found at http://systematicrelativestrength.com/

The annals of investor behavior make for some pretty scary reading. Yet this story from the Wall Street Journal may take the cake. It is an article about the top-performing mutual fund of the decade and it shows with remarkable clarity how badly investors butcher their long-term returns. The article hits the premise right up front:

Meet the decade’s best-performing U.S. diversified stock mutual fund: Ken Heebner’s $3.7 billion CGM Focus Fund, which rose more than 18% annually and outpaced its closest rival by more than three percentage points. Too bad investors weren’t around to enjoy much of those gains. The typical CGM Focus shareholder lost 11% annually in the 10 years ending Nov. 30, according to investment

What are the two most important moving averages for short-term, high probability ETF traders?

Moving averages are a very popular tool, and are a key ingredient in many trading strategies. Moving averages are typically trend-following tools that help traders determine what kind of trend, if any, a given market has developed.

One problem with moving averages is that many of the uses of moving averages have not been quantified – especially for short term traders in stocks and ETFs. As a result, a number of short term trading strategies for stock and ETFs that rely on moving averages or even multiple moving averages, have often underperformed. Our research into short term price behavior – in both stocks and ETFs – has found two key roles for moving averages in our trading strategies. These roles enable us to use moving averages for what they are best equipped to do – at least from

The first thing you’ll want to know is were the name comes from. Fibozachi is a combination of the words Fibonacci and Zachary. Fibozachi.com is the creation of two brothers who combined overlapping expertise in the field of technical analysis. One brother is a portfolio manager with a macro outlook and the other is a trader with a micro outlook. One has a BA in Economic History and a Concentration in Economic Game Theory from the University of Pennsylvania, while the other has a BA in Psychology from the University of Colorado at Boulder; each is a candidate for Level III of the Chartered Market Technician designation.

Bursting onto the trading scene in early – 2009; Fibozachi, with its highly accurate and innovative indicators is taking the trading world by storm. The Brothers Fibozachi; Zachary and Brandon have combined extremely high level fractals and mathematical formulas and the harmonic rhythms of

MTA Website Orientation Video – New!

Over the course of the last month the MTA has gone through the process of creating an orientation video for our mta.org website. The purpose of this video is to provide new and prospective members with a tutorial that explains and describes how to access all the member services that are offered through our website. As an existing member, if you are unsure or would like a “refresher” on what is available through our website, this video might be of value to you. Click here to view this new orientation video.

MTA Board of Directors Nominations

For the fiscal year commencing July 1, 2010, four (4) Officer positions are up for consideration for a 2-year term, and two (2) At-large Board positions are up for consideration for a 3-year term. Over the next two months, we are encouraging any Member, Honorary Member or Emeritus Member